Lula bucks prediction markets with Brazilian presidential win

Source: thehill.com · Section: politics · Bias: Center · Published: Mon, 26 Oct 2026 22:23:57 GMT

Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva bucked prediction market odds with his unlikely win in the Brazilian presidential runoff election this weekend. On Sunday, Lula was rated an underdog in the election, as his odds were at 20.2 percent on Kalshi and 20.5 percent on Polymarket at noon EDT. His opponent, Flávio Bolsonaro, the...

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The same story across the political spectrum (15 sources)

Left: Lula beats Bolsonaro to win Brazil presidential election — www.axios.com
Left: Lula’s Suprise Win Blocks Trump’s Push for a Far-Right Brazil — www.motherjones.com
Center: Lula wins historic fourth term as Brazilian president in defeat of far-right Flávio Bolsonaro — www.theguardian.com
Center-Right: Trump allies fall in two elections as Netanyahu faces next test — www.axios.com
Center: What to Know About Brazil’s Election as Bolsonaro Faces Off With Lula — www.nytimes.com
Center: Lula wins 4th term as Brazil's president, but Bolsonaro rejects results — www.cbsnews.com
Right: Marxist Lula Beats Bolsonaro in Brazil Presidential Election After Unprecedented Voting Time Extension — www.breitbart.com
Right: Brazilian election sends US progressives into online fever as key irregularity stokes result uncertainty — www.foxnews.com

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